Persian Gulf, Levant, Red Sea and South Asia leverage flashpoints.
6 questions
The Houthis cannot defeat the coalition — but they can outlast it. The shipping market reprices long before the firing stops, and Cape reroutes become…
Middle East
Egyptian weaponization would not change battlefield math overnight — but it would dismantle the four-decade architecture that has kept the Eastern…
Middle East
Hezbollah cannot win, but it can make Israel pay a strategic price the country has not paid since 1973 — and force the United States to choose between…
Middle East
Iran holds the geography; the US holds the firepower. The strait can be closed for days, not months — but the market shock is measured in years of risk…
Middle East
The war neither side wants is the easiest to stumble into. Domestic political pressure on both sides shrinks the off-ramp faster than diplomacy can build…
Middle East
A strike likely delays — not destroys — the Iranian program, while permanently rewriting regional deterrence. The cost is paid in oil prices and shipping…
Middle East