Egypt vs Grand Ethiopian Renaissance: Who Controls against the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam?
Most analysis asks who is stronger. Warlord Intel asks who has leverage.
Short answer
An Egyptian strike on the GERD would be a desperate, high-risk gamble to avert a perceived water crisis. The attack would likely fail to completely destroy the dam but would guarantee a devastating, prolonged regional war with Ethiopia. The resulting humanitarian crisis in Sudan and diplomatic fallout would render it a strategic failure for all involved parties.