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Strategic Analysis Division
// Scenario Simulator · Theater Cartography

Strategic Theater Maps

An intelligence atlas attached to the Scenario Simulator. Each map belongs to a scenario — read the strategic assessment, then read the ground it depends on.

Part of the Scenario Simulator
WI-MAP-01Persian Gulf · CENTCOM AOR
Part of the Scenario Simulator
Related Scenario

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz

Open scenario file
Strategic Question

Can a single coastline gate the world's oil market — and for how long?

What To Notice

Iran owns the northern coastline and the high ground; the tanker lane hugs Omani waters. Every transit happens inside the IRGC's reach.

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Scale · Indicative
IRANIRGC Naval DistrictsSaudi ArabiaQatarUAEOmanPersian GulfGulf of OmanTanker Lane → 17M bpdCHOKEPOINT · 33 KMStrait of HormuzUS 5th FleetPatrol ZoneASCM ReachLegendShipping LaneChokepoint

Strait of Hormuz Theater Map

A 21-mile chokepoint that gates roughly one-fifth of global oil and the bulk of Qatari LNG. Iran's coastline dominates the northern shore; mining or harassment here resonates instantly through energy and insurance markets.

Pressure Points
  • ~20% of global oil throughput daily
  • Limited bypass via Saudi East-West pipeline
  • IRGC small-boat & anti-ship missile reach across full width
  • US 5th Fleet forward-based at NSA Bahrain
Why the Geography Matters

The strait narrows to roughly 33km, with shipping lanes hugging Omani waters. Iran owns the high ground and the indentations — every tanker transits within range of shore-based systems. There is no global energy market without this corridor.

Map Legend
  • Pressure Points
  • View Theater Map
  • Escalation Risk
  • Key Pressure Point
WI-MAP-02First Island Chain · INDOPACOM AOR
Part of the Scenario Simulator
Related Scenario

China blockades Taiwan

Open scenario file
Strategic Question

Can a quarantine break Taipei before allied navies can respond?

What To Notice

PLA exclusion zones encircle Taiwan from three sides. The Bashi and Miyako straits are the only routes for Pacific reinforcement.

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Scale · Indicative
CHINAEastern Theater CommandFujianTAIWANTSMC · HsinchuJapanOkinawaPhilippinesTaiwan StraitBashi ChannelMiyako StraitFirst Island ChainPLA Exclusion ZonePacific → Malacca Trade RouteLegendPLAN PicketFirst Island Chain

Taiwan Blockade Theater Map

A maritime quarantine of Taiwan strangles the world's most concentrated chip supply and tests every US treaty in the Pacific. The geography — narrow channels, fixed allied bases, and 100 miles of contested water — defines the clock.

Pressure Points
  • TSMC fabs: >90% of advanced-node global supply
  • Bashi & Miyako Straits gate Pacific access
  • Taiwan holds ~11 days of LNG reserves
  • US/Japan basing in Okinawa within 700km
Why the Geography Matters

China's coastline encircles Taiwan from three sides. The First Island Chain — Japan, Ryukyus, Taiwan, Philippines — is both a US containment line and a PLA breakout objective. Whichever side controls the straits controls the tempo.

Map Legend
  • Pressure Points
  • View Theater Map
  • Escalation Risk
  • Key Pressure Point
WI-MAP-03Eastern Mediterranean · CENTCOM/EUCOM Seam
Part of the Scenario Simulator
Related Scenario

Egypt develops a nuclear weapon

Open scenario file
Strategic Question

How does proliferation and the Suez seam reshape regional balance?

What To Notice

Israel has no strategic depth; Egypt's mass and Sinai depth keep the balance. Suez ties this theater to Asia-Europe trade.

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Scale · Indicative
TurkeyCyprusSyriaLebanonISRAELJordanEGYPTSinaiMediterranean SeaRed Sea →SUEZ CANAL · 12% TradeIAF Op ZoneEAF Op ZoneCoalition Naval BoxUS 6th Fleet · RU Tartus reachAsia ↔ Europe Trade LaneLegendStrategic WaterwayAir Operating Zone

Eastern Mediterranean Strategic Map

A compressed theater where four militaries operate within minutes of one another. The Suez Canal carries 12% of global trade; the Sinai is the buffer that keeps Cairo and Tel Aviv at peace. Geography here is destiny.

Pressure Points
  • Suez Canal: ~12% of global trade transit
  • Sinai buffer underwrites Camp David framework
  • Israeli airspace minutes from every neighbor
  • Russian & US naval presence overlap off Cyprus
Why the Geography Matters

Israel has zero strategic depth — its width is measured in minutes of flight time. Egypt's mass and Sinai depth are stabilizing; remove either and the regional balance collapses. The Suez is the seam between Mediterranean and Indo-Pacific economies.

Map Legend
  • Pressure Points
  • View Theater Map
  • Escalation Risk
  • Key Pressure Point
WI-MAP-04Red Sea · CENTCOM AOR
Part of the Scenario Simulator
Related Scenario

Red Sea shipping is shut at Bab el-Mandeb

Open scenario file
Strategic Question

Can a 20-mile strait reroute Asia–Europe trade around Africa?

What To Notice

Houthi anti-ship missile and one-way drone fans extend across the lane. Coalition Task Forces operate from Djibouti; Saudi/Eritrea coastlines anchor the western shore.

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Scale · Indicative
Theater SchematicIndicative · Not To Scale

Red Sea / Bab el-Mandeb Theater Map

A 20-mile gate between the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. Whoever holds the Yemeni shore can tax — or shut — the Asia–Europe shipping artery and Gulf energy flowing to Europe.

Pressure Points
  • ~12% of global trade through Suez–Bab el-Mandeb
  • Cape of Good Hope reroute adds 10–14 days
  • Houthi ASCM & one-way drone reach blankets the lane
  • Coalition basing in Djibouti within 200km
Why the Geography Matters

The strait narrows to 20 miles between Yemen and Djibouti/Eritrea. Yemeni highlands give the Houthis line-of-sight and standoff range across the full lane; the western shore is friendlier to coalition operations.

Map Legend
  • Pressure Points
  • View Theater Map
  • Escalation Risk
  • Key Pressure Point
WI-MAP-05Levant · CENTCOM AOR
Part of the Scenario Simulator
Related Scenario

Hezbollah opens a full northern front against Israel

Open scenario file
Strategic Question

Can saturation rocket fire collapse Israeli air defenses inside 72 hours?

What To Notice

The northern border has no strategic depth. Israeli interceptor stockpiles drain in days under sustained salvos; Lebanese terrain shields launch sites.

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Scale · Indicative
Theater SchematicIndicative · Not To Scale

Northern Israel / Lebanon Theater Map

A 120km border where the densest non-state missile arsenal in modern warfare sits within minutes of Israeli population centers, and Israeli air superiority cannot reach launch sites without crossing Lebanese terrain.

Pressure Points
  • 150,000+ rockets including precision-guided missiles
  • Israeli interceptor stockpile depletion risk in days
  • Civilian displacement on both sides of the border
  • Lebanese state collapse risk under sustained war
Why the Geography Matters

Litani–Beirut–Bekaa triangle hosts launch sites and depots inside civilian terrain. Northern Israeli population sits inside short-range salvo distance, and any Israeli ground push pulls forces into urban Lebanese topography.

Map Legend
  • Pressure Points
  • View Theater Map
  • Escalation Risk
  • Key Pressure Point
WI-MAP-06South Asia · INDOPACOM/CENTCOM seam
Part of the Scenario Simulator
Related Scenario

India–Pakistan crisis escalates after a major attack

Open scenario file
Strategic Question

Can two nuclear powers manage escalation under domestic political pressure?

What To Notice

Kashmir is the political flashpoint; Punjab is the operational corridor. Indian conventional superiority pushes Pakistan toward early nuclear signaling.

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Scale · Indicative
Theater SchematicIndicative · Not To Scale

India–Pakistan Theater Map

A 3,300km frontier of nuclear neighbors with short warning times. Kashmir, the Line of Control, and the Punjab corridor compress every crisis into a window measured in hours, not days.

Pressure Points
  • Nuclear-armed neighbors with short warning times
  • Indian conventional edge vs Pakistani first-use posture
  • Indus Waters Treaty leverage
  • Chinese pressure across the LAC during any crisis
Why the Geography Matters

Mountain warfare in Kashmir, armored corridors across Punjab, and a coastal Karachi flank. Both sides field nuclear delivery from multiple basings, compressing decision time for political leaders on either side.

Map Legend
  • Pressure Points
  • View Theater Map
  • Escalation Risk
  • Key Pressure Point
WI-MAP-07Northeast Europe · EUCOM AOR
Part of the Scenario Simulator
Related Scenario

NATO–Russia incident erupts in the Baltic / Suwalki Gap

Open scenario file
Strategic Question

Can Russia sever the Baltic states from NATO ground reinforcement?

What To Notice

Russian forces in Kaliningrad and Belarus sit on either side of the Gap. NATO reinforcement depends on a single corridor under fires.

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Scale · Indicative
Theater SchematicIndicative · Not To Scale

Baltic Sea / Suwalki Gap Theater Map

NATO's narrowest land bridge to the Baltic states runs between Kaliningrad and Belarus. A single corridor, two Russian fires bubbles, and a treaty trigger lurking under every incident.

Pressure Points
  • Suwalki Gap — NATO's only land link to the Baltics
  • Kaliningrad A2/AD bubble over the Baltic Sea
  • Energy and data cables under the Baltic
  • Article 5 political threshold under ambiguous attack
Why the Geography Matters

The 65km Suwalki Gap is sandwiched between Russian Kaliningrad and Belarus. Baltic Sea sea lanes sit under Kaliningrad's missile reach, and reinforcement east of the Vistula is exposed from day one.

Map Legend
  • Pressure Points
  • View Theater Map
  • Escalation Risk
  • Key Pressure Point
WI-MAP-08Northeast Asia · INDOPACOM AOR
Part of the Scenario Simulator
Related Scenario

North Korea triggers a missile or nuclear crisis

Open scenario file
Strategic Question

Can deterrence hold under a leader prepared to absorb regime risk?

What To Notice

Artillery in Kaesong, missile bases in the north, and US/ROK basing in the south compress the entire conflict into one short timeline.

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Scale · Indicative
Theater SchematicIndicative · Not To Scale

Korean Peninsula Theater Map

A 250km peninsula where Seoul sits 40km from the DMZ and Pyongyang's ICBMs now bracket the US homeland. Every conflict timeline here is compressed into hours.

Pressure Points
  • Seoul within range of thousands of artillery tubes
  • Japanese homeland exposure to MRBM/IRBM
  • US extended-deterrence credibility under stress
  • Chinese tolerance threshold for regime risk
Why the Geography Matters

Kaesong artillery belt covers Seoul; missile complexes in the northern interior bracket Japan and Guam. US/ROK basing in the south compresses operational tempo to hours and minutes.

Map Legend
  • Pressure Points
  • View Theater Map
  • Escalation Risk
  • Key Pressure Point