Russia vs Ukraine: What Decides Russia Completes Its Conquest of Ukraine?
Most analysis asks who is stronger. Warlord Intel asks who has leverage.
Short answer
A Russian military victory in Ukraine, enabled by a US withdrawal, shatters the post-Cold War European security order. It trades a contained proxy conflict for the immediate and persistent threat of a direct Russia-NATO war, emboldens China, and marks a historic blow to American global leadership.