Morocco vs Algeria: What Decides Morocco Conducts Cross-border Raids Into Algeria?
Most analysis asks who is stronger. Warlord Intel asks who has leverage.
Short answer
A direct military conflict between Morocco and Algeria, sparked by the Western Sahara dispute, would be devastating for regional stability and create a severe energy security crisis for Southern Europe. While both sides have incentives to avoid a full-scale war, the ongoing arms race and lack of a diplomatic off-ramp make a miscalculation leading to a limited border war a tangible risk.